LY (last year's) Prediction:
"Podcasting" will begin to replace traditional radio broadcasting,
acting like an audio version of TiVo.
Reality:
In June, Apple added podcasts to its I-Tunes music store, giving
easy access more than 3,000 downloadable podcasts. Today just about
every popular radio show has a podcast counterpart.
LY Prediction: Watch
out for Mash-Ups -- a music craze where DJs/remixers take two songs
by two different artists and combine them.
Reality:
In November, boingboing.net reported that the RIAA targeted MashupTown.com,
a site that hosts and distributes mash-ups, saying that their content
violated copyright law.
LY Prediction:
The first mix-and-burn custom CD kiosks will begin popping up at
local coffee shops and music stores.
Reality:
Homer's added its first such kiosk at their Orchard Plaza location,
allowing users to select individual tracks from different sources
and burn them onto one CD in the store.
LY Prediction:
The break-out indie artist in '05 will likely be Mastodon.
Reality:
Masta-who?
LY Prediction:
U2, Bruce Springsteen and one other mega-band will be booked at
the Qwest Center by year-end.
Reality:
U2 was last week. The Stones are Jan. 29.
LY Prediction:
All of Courtney Love's personal and legal troubles will end in '05.
Reality:
She's alive and kicking.
LY Prediction:
Bands we'll be talking about this time next year: Beck, Yo La Tengo,
Nine Inch Nails, Cat Power, M Ward, Bob Dylan, Lou Barlow, Crooked
Fingers, Ladyfinger, Anonymous American, Bright Eyes, The Monroes,
Neva Dinova, Desaparecidos and The Golden Age.
Reality:
Beck's up for some Grammy's. NIN finally released With Teeth. Dylan
got his own satellite radio show. Ladyfinger and Neva are on the
verge of signing with Saddle Creek. And Bright Eyes just released
a live CD (but that new Desa album never materialized).
LY Prediction:Bands
we won't be talking about this time next year: Red Hot Chili Peppers,
Gwen Stefani, Eminem, Switchfoot, the Simpson sisters, Modest Mouse,
Interpol, 50 Cent, Green Day, Avril Lavigne and U2.
Reality:
Mostly correct, other than Bono (the post-show buzz continues) and
Green Day (more Grammys).
LY Prediction:
Saddle Creek will cut a deal with the city allowing them to build
Slowdown downtown, somewhere north of the Old Market.
Reality:
The bulldozers are currently digging away on 13th & Webster.
LY Prediction:
Slowdown won't be the only new live music venue that'll hit the
Omaha scene.
Reality:
A number of new venues opened, including Jobber's Canyon downtown,
Shag and The Spotlight Club, but none of them are a replacement
for The Ranch Bowl.
LY Prediction:
Saddle Creek Records will add not one but two new local bands to
their roster, including their heaviest band yet. Meanwhile, sister
label Team Love will out-release Saddle Creek almost two-to-one.
Reality:
Criteria joined the Creek fold in April, followed by Azure Ray's
Maria Taylor and Orenda Fink, with both Neva Dinova and Ladyfinger
rumored to be next. Creek, however, out-released Team Love 11 to
4.
LY Prediction:
Saddle Creek mainstay Bright Eyes will boast the label's first gold
record.
Reality:
Not yet.
LY Prediction:
Camera crews from a national TV news magazine -- 20/20, 60 Minutes,
48 Hours or Dateline -- will attempt to blow the lid
off the burgeoning Omaha music scene.
Reality:
A VH1 exec came through this summer to research a proposed
expose of Saddle Creek that never materialized.
LY Prediction:
KM3 will replace talentless blowhole Travis Justice's "For
What It's Worth" segment with a new nightly arts & entertainment
segment.
Reality:
KM3 deemed For What It's Worth worthless, yanking it last month.
But it's another local TV station that's in the early stages of
developing a program dedicated to local music. Stay tuned.
LY Prediction:
Scheduling conflicts will take their toll on one of the area's most
successful recording studios, causing it to close its doors in '05.
Reality:
Presto! lives on, though it may be moving to Omaha this year.
LY Prediction:
Two local video producers/film makers will gain national attention
for their rock video work.
Reality:
Local videomaker Nik Fackler (The Good Life, Orenda Fink) will be
directing his first full-length feature film this year.
LY Prediction:
As many as six local bands will sign either to national indie or
major labels.
Reality:
The big push never happened, though Criteria went to Creek, Venaculas
is working with a start-up indie, and Emphatic is rumored to be
working with a major.
LY Prediction:
A non-Saddle Creek act from Omaha will appear on a late-night chat
show while Bright Eyes will be a "special musical guest"
on Saturday Night Live.
Reality:
We're still waiting.
Look,
it's very unlikely that I could outdo that unholy performance. I
know this. So much so that I considered taking my crystal ball to
Sol's and trading it in for a second-hand shotgun or an 8-track-tape
player. But, knowing how much you, the reader, depend on my precognitive
skills, here are my visions of 2006:
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