LY (last year's) Prediction:
It won't be disco, but something very close will emerge as the dominant
sound heard both on the radio and in the clubs. A dance craze will
sweep the nation as horny singles tire of staring at the Internet
and return to the sweaty, Brut-soaked dance floors.
Reality:
Though a few dance songs emerged, there was no national dance craze
(unless you count Dancing with the Stars). Still, a significant
dance-related trend did emerge in Omaha last year with DJ-fueled,
theme-inspired dance parties like Loom held at España and
Goo at Slowdown. Goo has become this generation's Sprite Night (and
if you "get" that reference, you're too old to be reading
this), where the city's youth gets together to get down, both on
the dance floor and Slowdown's big stage. As much as I love dance
music, I've never been to Loom or Goo because, well, going to a
dance party and not dancing is like going to a nude beach with your
clothes on -- you're either part of the loving mob or you're the
freak with binoculars standing along the periphery. No one wants
to be that guy.
LY Prediction: A
new sound will finally emerge that redefines indie music as we know
it.
Reality:
Indie bands kept playing that same ol' song.
LY Prediction:
Apple's Steve Jobs will merge the iPod and the cell phone in a new
device that will revolutionize communication and signal the end
of the old-fashioned iPod.
Reality:
A few weeks after that prediction was published, Jobs announced
the iPhone, along with a new line of iPods, and the Age of the Apple
continued.
LY Prediction:
With the advent of digital downloading, the sun will begin to set
on the CD, while new value will be placed on vinyl records.
Reality:
CD sales are, indeed, continuing to decline as digital downloads
continue to grow. Meanwhile more and more artists are looking toward
vinyl, including local boys Mal Madrigal, who aren't even offering
their new music on CD. Still, it's going to be a long time before
CDs go the way of the cassette tape.
LY Prediction:
Slowdown will finally open, along with two new venues -- one in
mid-town, the other near the Old Market. The casualties won't be
the Sokol, but smaller clubs, which likely will either get out of
the live music business or close their doors.
Reality:
Slowdown opened, as did The Waiting Room, though no other downtown
music venue opened (yet). Instead, Benson emerged as the city's
hot new music district. Sokol is still limping along, while The
Saddle Creek Bar and O'Leaver's cut back on live music.
LY Prediction:
A CMJ-style indie radio station will be launched, financially
fueled by a successful local business person.
Reality:
Omaha continues to lack a decent radio station, and it doesn't look
like it'll ever get one.
LY Prediction:
Musicians we'll be talking about this time next year: Radiohead,
Bright Eyes, The Faint, Sarah Benck, Desaparecidos, U2, Husker Dü,
Pavement, Sufjan Stevens, Neil Young, Rilo Kiley, The Good Life,
David Bowie, Madonna, Brimstone Howl, Eagle*Seagull and Blue Moon
Ghetto.
Reality:
Radiohead released the most controversial album of the year. Bright
Eyes is up for a Grammy (for packaging), Benck, Young, Rilo Kiley,
The Good Life and Brimstone all released important albums in '07.
LY Prediction: Musicians
we won't be talking about: Dylan, Cursive, Red Hot Chili Peppers,
Beck, Tenacious D, Tool, Dave Matthews Band, Springsteen, Incubus,
Evanescence, My Chemical Romance, Blue October, Hinder and Michael
Jackson.
Reality:
Yup, though Springsteen did release a new record this year.
LY Prediction:
Britney breeds. Again.
Reality:
The breeding took place, but with a different Speers.
LY Prediction:
The expansion of the Qwest Center will make way for Radiohead, Pearl
Jam, Van Halen and the return of U2.
Reality:
Van Halen has been booked, but we're still waiting on the others.
LY Prediction:
The American public will finally tire of the American Idol,
but even more hideous reality shows will emerge.
Reality:
Fox, of course, is picking up Idol for another season, but
do you remember who won last year? Didn't think so. And you can
thank the writers strike for that new batch of shitty reality shows
that will begin airing next fall.
LY Prediction:
With one of the holy triad leaving the nest, Saddle Creek will sign
an already-established act that no one will expect, and the label
will have its first gold record.
Reality: :
Well, as far as non-North American distro is concerned, Bright Eyes
did leave Creek for Polydor last year (but remains with Creek for
the good ol' U.S.A). No other band has left (yet), and no established
act was signed. As for that gold record -- Conor and Creek will
have to keep waiting.
LY Prediction:
A new Mogis Bros.' recording studio will open that will attract
some high-flying non-Creek musicians who will be book "secret
shows" in some unexpected locations.
Reality:
Mogis' ARC studios opened last spring, and though it did pull in
some interesting artists (Lightspeed Champion, for example), none
performed around town.
LY Prediction:
One of Omaha's premier singer-songwriters will sign to a major label.
Reality:
Nope.
LY Prediction:
A local music journalist will announce that he's been working on
a book that chronicles his experiences with the local music scene,
but instead of just focusing on Saddle Creek, the book will include
almost every band and musician he's ever covered over the past 20
years.
Reality:
No announcement was ever made, though I hear that book is almost
done.
LY Prediction:
Bright Eyes will be a special musical guest on Saturday Night
Live.
Reality:
Nope.
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